●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 9 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 0
Texas Win 45
@Mississippi State 38
Vegas Texas −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Texas
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Northwestern 21
@Nebraska Win 28
Vegas Nebraska −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Northwestern
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Nebraska −6.5 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
South Florida 31
@Memphis Win 34
Vegas South Florida −4 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 6.5 toward South Florida
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Memphis −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
South Alabama Win 38
@Georgia State 31
Vegas South Alabama −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Georgia State
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Alabama −5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Alabama Win 29
@South Carolina 22
Vegas Alabama −13.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Alabama
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Alabama −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Michigan Win 31
@Michigan State 20
Vegas Michigan −14 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 5.5 toward Michigan
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Missouri 10
@Vanderbilt Win 17
Vegas Vanderbilt −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Vanderbilt
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Vanderbilt −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Ohio Win 28
@Eastern Michigan 21
Vegas Ohio −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Ohio
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Louisiana 23
@Troy Win 35
Vegas Troy −9.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Louisiana
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Troy −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Ball State 7
@Northern Illinois Win 21
Vegas Northern Illinois −5.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Northern Illinois
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Northern Illinois −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Boston College 24
@Louisville Win 38
Vegas Louisville −24 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Louisville
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisville −17.5 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Boise State Win 24
@Nevada 3
Vegas Boise State −22 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Nevada
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Boise State −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Florida Atlantic 32
@Navy Win 42
Vegas Navy −14 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Navy
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Navy −15 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Temple Win 38
@Tulsa 37
Vegas Temple −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Tulsa
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Temple −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Rutgers Win 27
@Purdue 24
Vegas Rutgers −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Purdue
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Purdue −3.5 59% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Oklahoma State 0
@Texas Tech Win 42
Vegas Texas Tech −39 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Oklahoma State
Total 63
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −36 99% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
California 34
@Virginia Tech Win 42
Vegas Virginia Tech −5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Virginia Tech
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Virginia Tech −1.5 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Virginia Win 17
@North Carolina 16
Vegas Virginia −9 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Virginia
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Virginia −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
SMU 12
@Wake Forest Win 13
Vegas SMU −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward SMU
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model SMU −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Western Michigan 17
@Miami (OH) Win 26
Vegas Miami (OH) −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Western Michigan
Total 44.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami (OH) −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Western Kentucky Win 28
@Louisiana Tech 27
Vegas Louisiana Tech −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Louisiana Tech
Total 44
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisiana Tech −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Auburn Win 33
@Arkansas 24
Vegas Auburn −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Arkansas
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Auburn −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
TCU Win 23
@West Virginia 17
Vegas TCU −15 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward TCU
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model TCU −13.5 80% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Georgia Southern 24
@Arkansas State Win 34
Vegas Arkansas State −2 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4.5 toward Georgia Southern
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arkansas State −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Middle Tennessee 28
@Delaware Win 31
Vegas Delaware −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Middle Tennessee
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Delaware −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Illinois 25
@Washington Win 42
Vegas Washington −5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Illinois
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington −8 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Syracuse 16
@Georgia Tech Win 41
Vegas Georgia Tech −18 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Syracuse
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Tech −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Ole Miss Win 34
@Oklahoma 26
Vegas Oklahoma −4.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Oklahoma
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oklahoma −1 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Missouri State Win 24
@New Mexico State 17
Vegas Missouri State −2 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Missouri State
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico State −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
App State 21
@Old Dominion Win 24
Vegas Old Dominion −13.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward App State
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −13 79% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Massachusetts 13
@Central Michigan Win 38
Vegas Central Michigan −15.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Central Michigan
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Central Michigan −14.5 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Bowling Green 21
@Kent State Win 24
Vegas Bowling Green −8.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Kent State
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Bowling Green −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
BYU Win 41
@Iowa State 27
Vegas Iowa State −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Iowa State
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model BYU −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Utah State 14
@New Mexico Win 33
Vegas New Mexico −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward New Mexico
Total 64
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
NC State 34
@Pittsburgh Win 53
Vegas Pittsburgh −8 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward NC State
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Pittsburgh −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Stanford 7
@Miami Win 42
Vegas Miami −30 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Stanford
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −22 91% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
North Texas Win 54
@Charlotte 20
Vegas North Texas −27 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Charlotte
Total 64
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −20 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Wisconsin 7
@Oregon Win 21
Vegas Oregon −34 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Wisconsin
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon −28 96% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Tennessee Win 56
@Kentucky 34
Vegas Tennessee −9 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Kentucky
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tennessee −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Houston Win 24
@Arizona State 16
Vegas Arizona State −8.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Houston
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arizona State −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
UConn 34
@Rice Win 37
Vegas UConn −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward UConn
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
San Diego State Win 23
@Fresno State 0
Vegas San Diego State −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward San Diego State
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San Diego State −6.5 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
UL Monroe 21
@Southern Miss Win 49
Vegas Southern Miss −11.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Southern Miss
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Southern Miss −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Baylor 20
@Cincinnati Win 41
Vegas Cincinnati −5.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Baylor
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Cincinnati −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Kennesaw State Win 45
@Florida International 26
Vegas Kennesaw State −2 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Kennesaw State
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kennesaw State −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Akron Win 24
@Buffalo 16
Vegas Buffalo −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Akron
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Buffalo −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Texas A&M Win 49
@LSU 25
Vegas Texas A&M −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7 toward Texas A&M
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas A&M −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
Minnesota 3
@Iowa Win 41
Vegas Iowa −9 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Minnesota
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa −12 77% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
Colorado State 0
@Wyoming Win 28
Vegas Wyoming −5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Wyoming
Total 45.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Wyoming −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 27
UCLA 6
@Indiana Win 56
Vegas Indiana −24 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Indiana
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −23 92% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
Toledo 7
@Washington State Win 28
Vegas Washington State −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Toledo
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Toledo −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
Kansas State Win 42
@Kansas 17
Vegas Kansas −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7.5 toward Kansas
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kansas −4.5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
Colorado 7
@Utah Win 53
Vegas Utah −15 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Utah
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −16.5 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →