●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 8 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 1
Baylor 36
@TCU Win 42
Vegas TCU −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward TCU
Total 62.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model TCU −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
LSU 24
@Vanderbilt Win 31
Vegas Vanderbilt −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Vanderbilt
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Vanderbilt −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Wyoming 21
@Air Force Win 24
Vegas Air Force −5.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Wyoming
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Air Force −4.5 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Texas A&M Win 45
@Arkansas 42
Vegas Texas A&M −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Arkansas
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas A&M −3.5 59% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Penn State 24
@Iowa Win 25
Vegas Iowa −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 14 toward Iowa
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
North Carolina 18
@California Win 21
Vegas California −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward North Carolina
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model California −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Arizona 28
@Houston Win 31
Vegas Houston −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Arizona
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Houston −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Michigan State 13
@Indiana Win 38
Vegas Indiana −27 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Indiana
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −26.5 95% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Texas State 37
@Marshall Win 40
Vegas Texas State −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Marshall
Total 62
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Marshall −1.5 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Mississippi State 21
@Florida Win 23
Vegas Florida −10 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Mississippi State
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Maryland 17
@UCLA Win 20
Vegas UCLA −3 = Push
Line moved ▼ 5.5 toward UCLA
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UCLA −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
San José State 25
@Utah State Win 30
Vegas Utah State −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward San José State
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah State −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Army 17
@Tulane Win 24
Vegas Tulane −10 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Army
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tulane −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Buffalo Win 28
@Massachusetts 21
Vegas Buffalo −17 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Massachusetts
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Buffalo −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Utah 21
@BYU Win 24
Vegas Utah −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Utah
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −1.5 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Tulsa 27
@East Carolina Win 41
Vegas East Carolina −16.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward East Carolina
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model East Carolina −19.5 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Eastern Michigan 30
@Miami (OH) Win 44
Vegas Miami (OH) −13.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Eastern Michigan
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami (OH) −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Ole Miss 35
@Georgia Win 43
Vegas Georgia −7 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Ole Miss
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
New Mexico State 27
@Liberty Win 30
Vegas Liberty −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Liberty
Total 46
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Liberty −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Texas Win 16
@Kentucky 13
Vegas Texas −11 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Kentucky
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Missouri Win 23
@Auburn 17
Vegas Auburn −1 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Missouri
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Auburn −2 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
UConn Win 38
@Boston College 23
Vegas Boston College −1.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward UConn
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Kent State 10
@Toledo Win 45
Vegas Toledo −25 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Toledo
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Toledo −26 95% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Washington State 20
@Virginia Win 22
Vegas Virginia −17.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Washington State
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Virginia −10.5 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
USC 24
@Notre Dame Win 34
Vegas Notre Dame −8.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Notre Dame
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Notre Dame −1.5 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Southern Miss Win 22
@Louisiana 10
Vegas Southern Miss −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Southern Miss
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Southern Miss −2 55% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Georgia State 24
@Georgia Southern Win 41
Vegas Georgia Southern −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Georgia Southern
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Southern −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Pittsburgh Win 30
@Syracuse 13
Vegas Pittsburgh −11 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Syracuse
Total 61.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Pittsburgh −7.5 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Arkansas State Win 15
@South Alabama 14
Vegas South Alabama −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward South Alabama
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Alabama −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Akron 28
@Ball State Win 42
Vegas Ball State −1 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Akron
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ball State −2.5 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Tennessee 20
@Alabama Win 37
Vegas Alabama −8 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Tennessee
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Alabama −5.5 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Louisville Win 24
@Miami 21
Vegas Miami −13.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Miami
Total 58
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −9 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Georgia Tech Win 27
@Duke 18
Vegas Duke −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Duke
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Duke −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Washington 7
@Michigan Win 24
Vegas Michigan −5.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 6.5 toward Washington
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Cincinnati Win 49
@Oklahoma State 17
Vegas Cincinnati −21 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3.5 toward Cincinnati
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Cincinnati −20 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Delaware 25
@Jacksonville State Win 38
Vegas Delaware −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Delaware
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Purdue 0
@Northwestern Win 19
Vegas Northwestern −3.5 ✓ ATS
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Northwestern −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
SMU Win 35
@Clemson 24
Vegas Clemson −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 8 toward SMU
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Clemson −2 55% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Ohio State Win 34
@Wisconsin 0
Vegas Ohio State −27.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Wisconsin
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −20.5 90% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Nevada 22
@New Mexico Win 24
Vegas New Mexico −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward New Mexico
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico −15.5 83% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Northern Illinois 21
@Ohio Win 48
Vegas Ohio −11 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Northern Illinois
Total 42
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio −12 77% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Texas Tech 22
@Arizona State Win 26
Vegas Texas Tech −11.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 11.5 toward Texas Tech
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Oklahoma Win 26
@South Carolina 7
Vegas Oklahoma −3.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Oklahoma
Total 41.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oklahoma −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
UTEP Win 35
@Sam Houston 17
Vegas UTEP −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 6 toward UTEP
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UTEP −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Troy Win 37
@UL Monroe 14
Vegas Troy −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward UL Monroe
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Troy −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Coastal Carolina Win 45
@App State 37
Vegas App State −11.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward App State
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model App State −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Florida Atlantic 13
@South Florida Win 48
Vegas South Florida −22 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward South Florida
Total 63.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Florida −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Florida State 13
@Stanford Win 20
Vegas Florida State −16.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Florida State
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida State −12 77% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Hawai'i Win 31
@Colorado State 19
Vegas Colorado State −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Colorado State
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Colorado State −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
UNLV 31
@Boise State Win 56
Vegas Boise State −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Boise State
Total 61.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Boise State −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 24
West Virginia 13
@UCF Win 45
Vegas UCF −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward West Virginia
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UCF −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 24
Memphis 24
@UAB Win 31
Vegas Memphis −21 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Memphis
Total 64
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Memphis −17.5 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 25
Nebraska 6
@Minnesota Win 24
Vegas Nebraska −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Nebraska
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Nebraska −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 29
Florida International Win 25
@Western Kentucky 6
Vegas Western Kentucky −7.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Western Kentucky
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Kentucky −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
Central Michigan Win 27
@Bowling Green 6
Vegas Bowling Green −5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Central Michigan
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Bowling Green −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 31
Oregon Win 56
@Rutgers 10
Vegas Oregon −16.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Oregon
Total 61.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon −15 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 32
Temple Win 49
@Charlotte 14
Vegas Temple −11 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Charlotte
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Temple −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 35
UTSA 17
@North Texas Win 55
Vegas North Texas −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward UTSA
Total 65.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 37
Old Dominion 27
@James Madison Win 63
Vegas James Madison −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward James Madison
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −1 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →