●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 7 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 0
Southern Miss Win 38
@Georgia Southern 35
Vegas Southern Miss −3 = Push
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Southern Miss
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Southern Miss −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 0
Alabama Win 27
@Missouri 24
Vegas Alabama −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Missouri
Total 55.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Alabama −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Miami (OH) Win 20
@Akron 7
Vegas Miami (OH) −10 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Miami (OH)
Total 46
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami (OH) −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Nebraska Win 34
@Maryland 31
Vegas Nebraska −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Nebraska
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Nebraska −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Purdue 20
@Minnesota Win 27
Vegas Minnesota −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Purdue
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Minnesota −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Charlotte 7
@Army Win 24
Vegas Army −17.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Charlotte
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Army −19 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
UCF 11
@Cincinnati Win 20
Vegas Cincinnati −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward UCF
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Cincinnati −7.5 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Virginia Tech 20
@Georgia Tech Win 35
Vegas Georgia Tech −15 = Push
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Virginia Tech
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Tech −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
BYU Win 33
@Arizona 27
Vegas BYU −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Arizona
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model BYU −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Missouri State Win 22
@Middle Tennessee 20
Vegas Missouri State −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Middle Tennessee
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Middle Tennessee −2 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
East Carolina 19
@Tulane Win 26
Vegas Tulane −7 = Push
Line moved ▲ 1 toward East Carolina
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tulane −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Ohio State Win 34
@Illinois 16
Vegas Ohio State −15 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Ohio State
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Northern Illinois 10
@Eastern Michigan Win 16
Vegas Northern Illinois −1.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Northern Illinois
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Eastern Michigan −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Arkansas 31
@Tennessee Win 34
Vegas Tennessee −12.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Arkansas
Total 66.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tennessee −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Jacksonville State Win 29
@Sam Houston 27
Vegas Jacksonville State −8.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Sam Houston
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Louisiana 14
@James Madison Win 24
Vegas James Madison −18 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward James Madison
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model James Madison −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
South Carolina 10
@LSU Win 20
Vegas LSU −9.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward South Carolina
Total 45.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model LSU −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Florida 17
@Texas A&M Win 34
Vegas Texas A&M −8.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Florida
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas A&M −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Liberty Win 19
@UTEP 8
Vegas Liberty −2 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward UTEP
Total 45.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Liberty −2.5 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Stanford 10
@SMU Win 34
Vegas SMU −18 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward SMU
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model SMU −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Iowa State 17
@Colorado Win 24
Vegas Iowa State −4 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Colorado
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa State −1 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
NC State 7
@Notre Dame Win 36
Vegas Notre Dame −22.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Notre Dame
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Notre Dame −21.5 91% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Georgia Win 20
@Auburn 10
Vegas Georgia −3.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Auburn
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −1.5 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Michigan 13
@USC Win 31
Vegas USC −1.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4.5 toward USC
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model USC −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Rutgers 19
@Washington Win 38
Vegas Washington −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Rutgers
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington −9 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Pittsburgh Win 34
@Florida State 31
Vegas Florida State −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Florida State
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida State −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Navy Win 32
@Temple 31
Vegas Navy −8.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Navy
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Navy −10.5 74% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
San José State 28
@Wyoming Win 35
Vegas San José State −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Wyoming
Total 46.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San José State −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Houston Win 39
@Oklahoma State 17
Vegas Houston −13.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Houston
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Houston −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Air Force 48
@UNLV Win 51
Vegas UNLV −7 ✕ ATS
Total 61
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UNLV −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
New Mexico 25
@Boise State Win 41
Vegas Boise State −17 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward New Mexico
Total 62
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Boise State −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Toledo 23
@Bowling Green Win 28
Vegas Toledo −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3.5 toward Toledo
Total 47
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Toledo −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Indiana Win 30
@Oregon 20
Vegas Oregon −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7.5 toward Indiana
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
UL Monroe 8
@Coastal Carolina Win 23
Vegas UL Monroe −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward UL Monroe
Total 47
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Coastal Carolina −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
TCU 28
@Kansas State Win 41
Vegas TCU −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward TCU
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model TCU −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Kansas 17
@Texas Tech Win 42
Vegas Texas Tech −14.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Kansas
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −9.5 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Troy Win 48
@Texas State 41
Vegas Texas State −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Troy
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas State −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
App State Win 41
@Georgia State 20
Vegas App State −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Georgia State
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model App State −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Oklahoma 6
@Texas Win 23
Vegas Texas −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7 toward Oklahoma
Total 40.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas −1 50% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
UAB 33
@Florida Atlantic Win 53
Vegas Florida Atlantic −4.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward UAB
Total 62.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida Atlantic −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Northwestern Win 22
@Penn State 21
Vegas Penn State −21.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Northwestern
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Penn State −17 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Washington State 21
@Ole Miss Win 24
Vegas Ole Miss −32.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Ole Miss
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ole Miss −23.5 93% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Utah State 26
@Hawai'i Win 44
Vegas Hawai'i −1 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Utah State
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah State −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
Arizona State 10
@Utah Win 42
Vegas Utah −5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7 toward Utah
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 24
San Diego State Win 44
@Nevada 10
Vegas San Diego State −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Nevada
Total 44.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San Diego State −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 25
Wake Forest Win 39
@Oregon State 14
Vegas Wake Forest −2 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Oregon State
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon State −1 50% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
Clemson Win 41
@Boston College 10
Vegas Clemson −14 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Clemson
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Clemson −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
UCLA Win 38
@Michigan State 13
Vegas Michigan State −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward UCLA
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan State −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 32
Fresno State 21
@Colorado State Win 49
Vegas Fresno State −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Colorado State
Total 47.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Fresno State −3.5 59% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 32
Old Dominion 24
@Marshall Win 48
Vegas Old Dominion −14 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Old Dominion
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 32
Ball State 0
@Western Michigan Win 42
Vegas Western Michigan −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Ball State
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Michigan −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 35
Iowa Win 37
@Wisconsin 0
Vegas Iowa −3.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Iowa
Total 42
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 36
South Florida Win 63
@North Texas 36
Vegas North Texas −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward North Texas
Total 62.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −8.5 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 36
Massachusetts 6
@Kent State Win 42
Vegas Kent State −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Massachusetts
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Massachusetts −1 50% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 37
Louisiana Tech 7
@Kennesaw State Win 35
Vegas Louisiana Tech −7 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Kennesaw State
Total 40.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisiana Tech −9 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 40
Rice 13
@UTSA Win 61
Vegas UTSA −13 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Rice
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UTSA −8 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →