●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 6 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 0
Wisconsin 10
@Michigan Win 24
Vegas Michigan −17 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Michigan
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Washington Win 24
@Maryland 20
Vegas Washington −5.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Maryland
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Boise State 7
@Notre Dame Win 28
Vegas Notre Dame −18 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Notre Dame
Total 63.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Notre Dame −19.5 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Michigan State 27
@Nebraska Win 38
Vegas Nebraska −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Nebraska
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Nebraska −12 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Oregon State 23
@App State Win 27
Vegas Oregon State −1.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward App State
Total 55.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model App State −2 55% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
West Virginia 24
@BYU Win 38
Vegas BYU −19.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward West Virginia
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model BYU −17 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Syracuse 18
@SMU Win 31
Vegas SMU −16.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward SMU
Total 62
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model SMU −15.5 83% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Kentucky 14
@Georgia Win 35
Vegas Georgia −21 = Push
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Kentucky
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −16.5 85% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
South Alabama 24
@Troy Win 31
Vegas Troy −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 5.5 toward South Alabama
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Troy −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Kansas State 34
@Baylor Win 35
Vegas Baylor −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Kansas State
Total 58
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Baylor −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
UNLV Win 31
@Wyoming 17
Vegas UNLV −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Wyoming
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UNLV −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Kansas Win 27
@UCF 20
Vegas Kansas −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Kansas
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kansas −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Eastern Michigan 30
@Buffalo Win 31
Vegas Buffalo −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Eastern Michigan
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Buffalo −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Miami Win 28
@Florida State 22
Vegas Miami −5.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Florida State
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida State −1 50% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Colorado 21
@TCU Win 35
Vegas TCU −14.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Colorado
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model TCU −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Iowa State 30
@Cincinnati Win 38
Vegas Cincinnati −1 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 5 toward Cincinnati
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Cincinnati −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Wake Forest Win 30
@Virginia Tech 23
Vegas Virginia Tech −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Wake Forest
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Wake Forest −1 50% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Virginia Win 30
@Louisville 27
Vegas Louisville −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Virginia
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisville −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Western Kentucky Win 27
@Delaware 24
Vegas Delaware −2 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Delaware
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Delaware −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
New Mexico 28
@San José State Win 35
Vegas San José State −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward New Mexico
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
UTSA 21
@Temple Win 27
Vegas UTSA −6.5 ✓ ATS
Total 58
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UTSA −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Oklahoma State 13
@Arizona Win 41
Vegas Arizona −18.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Arizona
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arizona −18.5 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Kent State 0
@Oklahoma Win 44
Vegas Oklahoma −45.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Oklahoma
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oklahoma −35.5 99% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Illinois Win 43
@Purdue 27
Vegas Illinois −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5.5 toward Purdue
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Illinois −5.5 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
James Madison Win 14
@Georgia State 7
Vegas James Madison −19.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward James Madison
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model James Madison −17.5 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Nevada 17
@Fresno State Win 20
Vegas Fresno State −13.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Nevada
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Fresno State −13.5 80% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Army Win 31
@UAB 13
Vegas Army −7 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward UAB
Total 61.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Army −7 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Vanderbilt 14
@Alabama Win 30
Vegas Alabama −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 9 toward Vanderbilt
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Alabama −4.5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Miami (OH) Win 25
@Northern Illinois 14
Vegas Miami (OH) −4.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Miami (OH)
Total 38
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami (OH) −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Texas Tech Win 35
@Houston 11
Vegas Texas Tech −12 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Texas Tech
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Florida Atlantic Win 27
@Rice 21
Vegas Rice −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Florida Atlantic
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Rice −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Charlotte 26
@South Florida Win 54
Vegas South Florida −27.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward South Florida
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Florida −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Mississippi State 9
@Texas A&M Win 31
Vegas Texas A&M −14 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Texas A&M
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas A&M −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Colorado State 24
@San Diego State Win 45
Vegas San Diego State −5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Colorado State
Total 42
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San Diego State −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Air Force 31
@Navy Win 34
Vegas Navy −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Navy
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Navy −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Central Michigan 22
@Akron Win 28
Vegas Central Michigan −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Central Michigan
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Central Michigan −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Western Michigan Win 21
@Massachusetts 3
Vegas Western Michigan −11.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Western Michigan
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Michigan −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Tulsa 7
@Memphis Win 45
Vegas Memphis −21 ✓ ATS
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Memphis −23 92% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Texas State 30
@Arkansas State Win 31
Vegas Texas State −12.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5.5 toward Texas State
Total 62
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas State −14.5 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Ohio 14
@Ball State Win 20
Vegas Ohio −16.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Ball State
Total 55.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Texas 21
@Florida Win 29
Vegas Texas −7 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Florida
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas −9 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Coastal Carolina 7
@Old Dominion Win 47
Vegas Old Dominion −17.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Old Dominion
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −20 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Minnesota 3
@Ohio State Win 42
Vegas Ohio State −24 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Ohio State
Total 46
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −18.5 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Duke Win 45
@California 21
Vegas Duke −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Duke
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Duke −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Clemson Win 38
@North Carolina 10
Vegas Clemson −13.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Clemson
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Clemson −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 22
Penn State 37
@UCLA Win 42
Vegas Penn State −25 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward UCLA
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Penn State −16.5 85% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
Sam Houston 10
@New Mexico State Win 37
Vegas Sam Houston −1.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Sam Houston
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico State −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 27
UL Monroe 7
@Northwestern Win 42
Vegas Northwestern −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Northwestern
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Northwestern −8 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 33
Florida International 10
@UConn Win 51
Vegas UConn −8.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Florida International
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 38
Boston College 7
@Pittsburgh Win 48
Vegas Pittsburgh −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Pittsburgh
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Pittsburgh −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →