●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Bowl Season Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 1
Miami Win 31
@Ole Miss 27
Vegas Miami −3 ✕ ATS
Total 54 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Troy 13
@Jacksonville State Win 17
Vegas Jacksonville State −3.5 ✓ ATS
Total 51 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −6.5 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Miami Win 10
@Texas A&M 3
Vegas Texas A&M −3 ✓ ATS
Total 55 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Pittsburgh 17
@East Carolina Win 23
Vegas Pittsburgh −12.5 ✓ ATS
Total 55.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model East Carolina −4 59% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Georgia Tech 21
@BYU Win 25
Vegas BYU −3.5 ✓ ATS
Total 53 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model BYU −6.5 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Louisiana 13
@Delaware Win 20
Vegas Louisiana −1.5 ✓ ATS
Total 57.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Delaware −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
California 31
@Hawai'i Win 35
Vegas Hawai'i −1.5 ✓ ATS
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Hawai'i −7.5 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Arizona State 39
@Duke Win 42
Vegas Duke −4 ✓ ATS
Total 53 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arizona State −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Nebraska 22
@Utah Win 44
Vegas Utah −13.5 ✓ ATS
Total 52.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −19 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Missouri State 28
@Arkansas State Win 34
Vegas Arkansas State −1.5 ✓ ATS
Total 53.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arkansas State −2 55% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
North Texas Win 49
@San Diego State 47
Vegas North Texas −7.5 ✓ ATS
Total 53 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Rice 10
@Texas State Win 41
Vegas Texas State −19.5 ✓ ATS
Total 59 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas State −27 95% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Western Kentucky Win 27
@Southern Miss 16
Vegas Southern Miss −3 ✓ ATS
Total 51.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Kentucky −5.5 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
UNLV 10
@Ohio Win 17
Vegas UNLV −6.5 ✓ ATS
Total 54.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
LSU 35
@Houston Win 38
Vegas Houston −1.5 ✕ ATS
Total 42.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model LSU −2 55% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Arizona 19
@SMU Win 24
Vegas SMU −2.5 ✓ ATS
Total 50 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model SMU −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Penn State Win 22
@Clemson 10
Vegas Clemson −2.5 ✓ ATS
Total 50 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Penn State −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Washington State Win 34
@Utah State 21
Vegas Utah State −1.5 ✓ ATS
Total 52 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington State −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
New Mexico 17
@Minnesota Win 20
Vegas Minnesota −1.5 ✕ ATS
Total 47.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico −5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Ole Miss Win 39
@Georgia 34
Vegas Georgia −6 ✓ ATS
Total 52 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Wake Forest Win 43
@Mississippi State 29
Vegas Mississippi State −3 ✓ ATS
Total 52 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Wake Forest −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Miami 21
@Indiana Win 27
Vegas Indiana −7.5 ✕ ATS
Total 53 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −14.5 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Toledo 22
@Louisville Win 27
Vegas Louisville −12.5 ✓ ATS
Total 45 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Toledo −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Coastal Carolina 14
@Louisiana Tech Win 23
Vegas Louisiana Tech −10 ✕ ATS
Total 49 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisiana Tech −19.5 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Tennessee 28
@Illinois Win 30
Vegas Tennessee −3 ✕ ATS
Total 58 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tennessee −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Iowa Win 34
@Vanderbilt 27
Vegas Vanderbilt −3 ✕ ATS
Total 48 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Vanderbilt −4 59% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Boise State 10
@Washington Win 38
Vegas Washington −10 ✓ ATS
Total 52.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
James Madison 34
@Oregon Win 51
Vegas Oregon −20.5 ✓ ATS
Total 53.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Miami (OH) 3
@Fresno State Win 18
Vegas Fresno State −5.5 ✕ ATS
Total 42 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Fresno State −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
USC 27
@TCU Win 30
Vegas USC −4.5 ✕ ATS
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model USC −9 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Alabama Win 34
@Oklahoma 24
Vegas Oklahoma −1.5 ✕ ATS
Total 44.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oklahoma −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Virginia Win 13
@Missouri 7
Vegas Missouri −4 ✕ ATS
Total 51 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Missouri −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Michigan 27
@Texas Win 41
Vegas Texas −4.5 ✕ ATS
Total 43 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Alabama 3
@Indiana Win 38
Vegas Indiana −7.5 ✓ ATS
Total 50.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −19.5 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Old Dominion Win 24
@South Florida 10
Vegas South Florida −4 ✓ ATS
Total 56.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Florida −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Tulane 10
@Ole Miss Win 41
Vegas Ole Miss −16.5 ✕ ATS
Total 56 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ole Miss −13.5 80% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Georgia Southern Win 29
@App State 10
Vegas Georgia Southern −10 ✕ ATS
Total 57 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model App State −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 22
Navy Win 35
@Cincinnati 13
Vegas Navy −7.5 ✕ ATS
Total 53 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Navy −1 50% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
Miami Win 24
@Ohio State 14
Vegas Ohio State −7.5 ✕ ATS
Total 47.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −13 79% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 24
Oregon 22
@Indiana Win 56
Vegas Indiana −3 ✓ ATS
Total 51.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −10.5 74% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
UConn 16
@Army Win 41
Vegas Army −8.5 ✕ ATS
Total 51.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
Memphis 7
@NC State Win 31
Vegas NC State −3.5 ✕ ATS
Total 56 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Memphis −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
Central Michigan 7
@Northwestern Win 34
Vegas Northwestern −13.5 ✕ ATS
Total 43 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Central Michigan −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
Oregon Win 23
@Texas Tech 0
Vegas Texas Tech −1.5 ✕ ATS
Total 53.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 29
Kennesaw State 6
@Western Michigan Win 41
Vegas Western Michigan −3.5 ✓ ATS
Total 46 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Michigan −5.5 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 29
Florida International 20
@UTSA Win 57
Vegas UTSA −7 ✓ ATS
Total 57 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UTSA −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →