Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 15 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 6
Indiana Win 13
@Ohio State 10
Vegas Ohio State −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Indiana
Total 48.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −2.5 57% win prob
Final Off by 10
Kennesaw State Win 19
@Jacksonville State 15
Vegas Kennesaw State −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Kennesaw State
Total 55 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −5.5 64% win prob
Final Off by 10
Miami (OH) 13
@Western Michigan Win 23
Vegas Western Michigan −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Miami (OH)
Total 42.5 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Michigan −1 51% win prob
Final Off by 13
Troy 14
@James Madison Win 31
Vegas James Madison −24.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward James Madison
Total 53.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model James Madison −30 97% win prob
Final Off by 13
BYU 7
@Texas Tech Win 34
Vegas Texas Tech −12.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Texas Tech
Total 54.5 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −13.5 80% win prob
Final Off by 13
Duke Win 27
@Virginia 20
Vegas Virginia −3.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Virginia
Total 55 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Virginia −6.5 65% win prob
Final Off by 17
UNLV 21
@Boise State Win 38
Vegas Boise State −6 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Boise State
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UNLV −1 50% win prob
Final Off by 19
Georgia Win 28
@Alabama 7
Vegas Georgia −1.5 ✓ ATS
Total 49 ✕ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −2 54% win prob
Final Off by 21
North Texas 21
@Tulane Win 34
Vegas North Texas −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Tulane
Total 62 ✓ O/U
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −7.5 68% win prob