●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 13 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 0
TCU Win 17
@Houston 14
Vegas Houston −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward TCU
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model TCU −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 0
Rutgers 9
@Ohio State Win 42
Vegas Ohio State −34 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Rutgers
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −33.5 98% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 0
Missouri State 34
@Kennesaw State Win 41
Vegas Kennesaw State −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Kennesaw State
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kennesaw State −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Central Michigan Win 28
@Kent State 16
Vegas Central Michigan −8 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Central Michigan
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Central Michigan −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Duke Win 32
@North Carolina 25
Vegas Duke −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 8.5 toward Duke
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Duke −6.5 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Minnesota 35
@Northwestern Win 38
Vegas Northwestern −5.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Minnesota
Total 40.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Northwestern −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Liberty 28
@Louisiana Tech Win 34
Vegas Louisiana Tech −1 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Liberty
Total 45.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisiana Tech −3.5 59% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Georgia State 19
@Troy Win 31
Vegas Troy −10.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Georgia State
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Troy −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Ball State 9
@Toledo Win 38
Vegas Toledo −27.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7 toward Toledo
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Toledo −31.5 98% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Miami Win 34
@Virginia Tech 17
Vegas Miami −17 = Push
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Miami
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −21.5 91% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
UConn Win 48
@Florida Atlantic 45
Vegas UConn −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Florida Atlantic
Total 62
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
New Mexico State Win 34
@UTEP 31
Vegas UTEP −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward UTEP
Total 47
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UTEP −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
UL Monroe 14
@Texas State Win 31
Vegas Texas State −19.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Texas State
Total 58.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas State −20.5 90% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Massachusetts 14
@Ohio Win 42
Vegas Ohio −32.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Ohio
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio −33.5 98% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Louisiana Win 34
@Arkansas State 30
Vegas Arkansas State −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Louisiana
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arkansas State −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Missouri 6
@Oklahoma Win 17
Vegas Oklahoma −9.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 6 toward Missouri
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oklahoma −4.5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Southern Miss 35
@South Alabama Win 42
Vegas Southern Miss −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward South Alabama
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Alabama −1 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
San José State 3
@San Diego State Win 25
Vegas San Diego State −12 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward San José State
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San Diego State −14.5 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
BYU Win 26
@Cincinnati 14
Vegas BYU −2 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 6 toward BYU
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model BYU −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
USC 27
@Oregon Win 42
Vegas Oregon −9.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward USC
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Arkansas 37
@Texas Win 52
Vegas Texas −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Arkansas
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Charlotte 3
@Georgia Win 35
Vegas Georgia −45 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Charlotte
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −39.5 99% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Sam Houston 17
@Middle Tennessee Win 31
Vegas Middle Tennessee −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Middle Tennessee
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Middle Tennessee −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Jacksonville State 21
@Florida International Win 27
Vegas Florida International −1 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Florida International
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Western Kentucky 10
@LSU Win 13
Vegas LSU −21.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward LSU
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model LSU −10.5 74% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Akron Win 19
@Bowling Green 16
Vegas Bowling Green −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Akron
Total 46.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Bowling Green −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Western Michigan Win 35
@Northern Illinois 19
Vegas Western Michigan −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward Western Michigan
Total 41
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Michigan −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Marshall 24
@App State Win 26
Vegas Marshall −3.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Marshall
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Marshall −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Tennessee Win 31
@Florida 11
Vegas Tennessee −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 7.5 toward Tennessee
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tennessee −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Washington State 20
@James Madison Win 24
Vegas James Madison −14 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward James Madison
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model James Madison −13.5 80% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Michigan Win 45
@Maryland 20
Vegas Michigan −14 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Michigan
Total 46
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −15 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
South Florida Win 48
@UAB 18
Vegas South Florida −21 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward South Florida
Total 67.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Florida −19.5 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
North Texas Win 56
@Rice 24
Vegas North Texas −18 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward North Texas
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −20 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Colorado State 21
@Boise State Win 49
Vegas Boise State −16.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Boise State
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Boise State −15 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
New Mexico Win 20
@Air Force 3
Vegas New Mexico −2 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward New Mexico
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model New Mexico −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Miami (OH) Win 37
@Buffalo 20
Vegas Buffalo −2 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Miami (OH)
Total 43.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami (OH) −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Kansas State 47
@Utah Win 51
Vegas Utah −17 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 17 toward Utah
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −18 87% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Nevada Win 13
@Wyoming 7
Vegas Wyoming −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Nevada
Total 42
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Wyoming −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 15
Oklahoma State 14
@UCF Win 17
Vegas UCF −14.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Oklahoma State
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UCF −18.5 87% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Florida State 11
@NC State Win 21
Vegas Florida State −4.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4.5 toward Florida State
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida State −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Michigan State 17
@Iowa Win 20
Vegas Iowa −16.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Iowa
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa −19 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Tulane Win 37
@Temple 13
Vegas Tulane −8 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Temple
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tulane −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Utah State Win 28
@Fresno State 17
Vegas Fresno State −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Utah State
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Fresno State −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Nebraska 10
@Penn State Win 37
Vegas Penn State −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Nebraska
Total 51
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Penn State −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Tulsa Win 26
@Army 25
Vegas Army −11 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Tulsa
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Army −15.5 83% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Pittsburgh Win 42
@Georgia Tech 28
Vegas Georgia Tech −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Pittsburgh
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Tech −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Kansas 14
@Iowa State Win 38
Vegas Iowa State −4 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Kansas
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa State −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Kentucky 17
@Vanderbilt Win 45
Vegas Vanderbilt −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Kentucky
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Vanderbilt −8.5 70% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Arizona State Win 42
@Colorado 17
Vegas Arizona State −7.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Arizona State
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arizona State −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Washington Win 48
@UCLA 14
Vegas Washington −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward UCLA
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington −14.5 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Old Dominion Win 45
@Georgia Southern 10
Vegas Old Dominion −11 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Old Dominion
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −14.5 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
California 10
@Stanford Win 31
Vegas California −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward California
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Stanford −1 52% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Hawai'i 10
@UNLV Win 38
Vegas UNLV −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Hawai'i
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UNLV −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 22
Baylor 17
@Arizona Win 41
Vegas Arizona −6.5 ✕ ATS
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arizona −2 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
Illinois 10
@Wisconsin Win 27
Vegas Illinois −9 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Wisconsin
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Illinois −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
Louisville 6
@SMU Win 38
Vegas SMU −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward SMU
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model SMU −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
Coastal Carolina 7
@South Carolina Win 51
Vegas South Carolina −23 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward South Carolina
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Carolina −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
Delaware 14
@Wake Forest Win 52
Vegas Wake Forest −17.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Delaware
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Wake Forest −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
Syracuse 7
@Notre Dame Win 70
Vegas Notre Dame −35 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Notre Dame
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Notre Dame −33 98% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →