●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 12 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 1
Air Force 16
@UConn Win 26
Vegas UConn −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Air Force
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Arkansas 22
@LSU Win 23
Vegas LSU −5.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Arkansas
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model LSU −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Marshall Win 30
@Georgia State 18
Vegas Marshall −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Marshall
Total 63
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Marshall −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Memphis 27
@East Carolina Win 31
Vegas East Carolina −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward East Carolina
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model East Carolina −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Minnesota 13
@Oregon Win 42
Vegas Oregon −26 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Oregon
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon −26.5 95% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
Florida Atlantic 24
@Tulane Win 35
Vegas Tulane −18 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Tulane
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tulane −14 80% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Clemson Win 20
@Louisville 19
Vegas Louisville −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 8 toward Louisville
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisville −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Virginia Tech 14
@Florida State Win 34
Vegas Florida State −14 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Florida State
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida State −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Middle Tennessee 26
@Western Kentucky Win 42
Vegas Western Kentucky −13.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Middle Tennessee
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Kentucky −10.5 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Coastal Carolina 40
@Georgia Southern Win 45
Vegas Georgia Southern −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Georgia Southern
Total 55.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Southern −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Florida 24
@Ole Miss Win 34
Vegas Ole Miss −14 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3.5 toward Florida
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ole Miss −15 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 5
Utah State 26
@UNLV Win 29
Vegas UNLV −6 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Utah State
Total 65
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UNLV −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Wisconsin 7
@Indiana Win 31
Vegas Indiana −30 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Wisconsin
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −29.5 97% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Penn State Win 28
@Michigan State 10
Vegas Penn State −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Michigan State
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Penn State −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
South Alabama Win 26
@UL Monroe 14
Vegas South Alabama −4 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward South Alabama
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Alabama −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Iowa 21
@USC Win 26
Vegas USC −7 ✕ ATS
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model USC −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Boise State 7
@San Diego State Win 17
Vegas San Diego State −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Boise State
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San Diego State −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Ohio 13
@Western Michigan Win 17
Vegas Western Michigan −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Western Michigan
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Maryland 6
@Illinois Win 24
Vegas Illinois −15 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Illinois
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Illinois −11 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
New Mexico State 9
@Tennessee Win 42
Vegas Tennessee −39.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Tennessee
Total 61
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tennessee −25.5 94% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
UCLA 10
@Ohio State Win 48
Vegas Ohio State −31.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Ohio State
Total 49
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −31 97% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Kennesaw State 26
@Jacksonville State Win 35
Vegas Kennesaw State −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Kennesaw State
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Eastern Michigan Win 24
@Ball State 9
Vegas Eastern Michigan −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward Ball State
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Eastern Michigan −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
UTSA Win 28
@Charlotte 7
Vegas UTSA −18 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Charlotte
Total 61
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UTSA −13 79% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Notre Dame Win 37
@Pittsburgh 15
Vegas Notre Dame −12.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Notre Dame
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Notre Dame −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Oklahoma Win 23
@Alabama 21
Vegas Alabama −5.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 6 toward Oklahoma
Total 47
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Alabama −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
UTEP 24
@Missouri State Win 38
Vegas Missouri State −4 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward Missouri State
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Missouri State −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
North Carolina 12
@Wake Forest Win 28
Vegas Wake Forest −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward North Carolina
Total 44
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Wake Forest −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Michigan Win 24
@Northwestern 22
Vegas Michigan −12.5 ✓ ATS
Total 40.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
West Virginia 23
@Arizona State Win 25
Vegas Arizona State −11.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward West Virginia
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arizona State −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Liberty 27
@Florida International Win 34
Vegas Liberty −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Liberty
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Liberty −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
South Florida 38
@Navy Win 41
Vegas South Florida −10.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Navy
Total 61
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Florida −8 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Arizona Win 30
@Cincinnati 24
Vegas Cincinnati −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Cincinnati
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Cincinnati −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Georgia Tech Win 36
@Boston College 34
Vegas Georgia Tech −16.5 ✓ ATS
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Tech −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Delaware 23
@Sam Houston Win 26
Vegas Delaware −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 5 toward Delaware
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Delaware −9 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
South Carolina 30
@Texas A&M Win 31
Vegas Texas A&M −19.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward South Carolina
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas A&M −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
Mississippi State 27
@Missouri Win 49
Vegas Missouri −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Missouri
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Missouri −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Kent State Win 42
@Akron 35
Vegas Akron −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Akron
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Akron −7.5 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Toledo Win 24
@Miami (OH) 3
Vegas Toledo −5.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Toledo
Total 45
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Toledo −6.5 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Kansas State Win 14
@Oklahoma State 6
Vegas Kansas State −19.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Oklahoma State
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kansas State −22.5 92% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
North Texas Win 53
@UAB 24
Vegas North Texas −17.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward UAB
Total 69
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −14.5 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Buffalo 19
@Central Michigan Win 38
Vegas Central Michigan −2 ✓ ATS
Total 46.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Central Michigan −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
NC State 7
@Miami Win 41
Vegas Miami −16 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Miami
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −17.5 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Wyoming 3
@Fresno State Win 24
Vegas Fresno State −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Wyoming
Total 43
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Fresno State −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Utah Win 55
@Baylor 28
Vegas Utah −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Utah
Total 59
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −9 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Purdue 13
@Washington Win 49
Vegas Washington −16.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Purdue
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington −17.5 86% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Texas 10
@Georgia Win 35
Vegas Georgia −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Texas
Total 49.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Oregon State 14
@Tulsa Win 31
Vegas Oregon State −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Tulsa
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Oregon State −3 57% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
UCF 9
@Texas Tech Win 48
Vegas Texas Tech −24 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Texas Tech
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −18.5 88% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Troy 0
@Old Dominion Win 33
Vegas Old Dominion −10 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Troy
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −11.5 76% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
Virginia Win 34
@Duke 17
Vegas Duke −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Virginia
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Duke −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 25
Louisiana Tech 3
@Washington State Win 28
Vegas Washington State −8.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 6.5 toward Washington State
Total 45.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisiana Tech −1 51% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 27
TCU 13
@BYU Win 44
Vegas BYU −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward TCU
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model BYU −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
App State 10
@James Madison Win 58
Vegas James Madison −21 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward James Madison
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model James Madison −19.5 89% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 29
Texas State Win 41
@Southern Miss 14
Vegas Southern Miss −3 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3.5 toward Texas State
Total 62
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Southern Miss −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 33
Northern Illinois Win 45
@Massachusetts 3
Vegas Northern Illinois −9.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Massachusetts
Total 44.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Northern Illinois −9 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 56
San José State 10
@Nevada Win 55
Vegas San José State −9.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward San José State
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San José State −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →