●Model record 577–226 71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked ●71.9% winners Correct 577/803 Avg error ±12.7 pts ATS 414–377–12 52.3% vs spread 803 games tracked
2025 Season

Week 10 Picks

W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 Bowls
Final Off by 0
Vanderbilt 31
@Texas Win 34
Vegas Texas −3 = Push
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Texas
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 0
Hawai'i 38
@San José State Win 45
Vegas San José State −2.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward San José State
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San José State −7 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 1
Jacksonville State Win 24
@Middle Tennessee 21
Vegas Jacksonville State −6 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Middle Tennessee
Total 55.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Jacksonville State −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
UTEP 20
@Kennesaw State Win 33
Vegas Kennesaw State −10 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Kennesaw State
Total 44
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kennesaw State −10.5 74% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Army Win 20
@Air Force 17
Vegas Army −1 ✓ ATS
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Army −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Louisville Win 28
@Virginia Tech 16
Vegas Louisville −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Virginia Tech
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisville −9.5 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Michigan State 20
@Minnesota Win 23
Vegas Minnesota −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Michigan State
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Minnesota −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 2
Wyoming 7
@San Diego State Win 24
Vegas San Diego State −11 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Wyoming
Total 42.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model San Diego State −15 83% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 3
South Carolina 14
@Ole Miss Win 30
Vegas Ole Miss −13.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward South Carolina
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ole Miss −13 79% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Florida International 21
@Missouri State Win 28
Vegas Missouri State −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Florida International
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Missouri State −3 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Virginia Win 31
@California 21
Vegas Virginia −4.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward Virginia
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Virginia −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Duke Win 46
@Clemson 45
Vegas Clemson −3.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Clemson
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Clemson −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 4
Central Michigan 21
@Western Michigan Win 24
Vegas Western Michigan −5.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Central Michigan
Total 47
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Michigan −7.5 68% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
UAB 19
@UConn Win 38
Vegas UConn −12 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward UAB
Total 63
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UConn −13.5 79% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Georgia Win 24
@Florida 20
Vegas Georgia −7.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Florida
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia −9.5 72% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 6
Pittsburgh Win 35
@Stanford 20
Vegas Pittsburgh −14 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Stanford
Total 56.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Pittsburgh −9 71% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
USC Win 21
@Nebraska 17
Vegas USC −6 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Nebraska
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model USC −11 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 7
Washington State 7
@Oregon State Win 10
Vegas Washington State −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward Oregon State
Total 54
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Washington State −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Memphis Win 38
@Rice 14
Vegas Memphis −14 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3.5 toward Rice
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Memphis −16 84% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Navy 17
@North Texas Win 31
Vegas North Texas −6.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward North Texas
Total 64.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model North Texas −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 8
Oklahoma State 21
@Kansas Win 38
Vegas Kansas −24.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Kansas
Total 57
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Kansas −25.5 94% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Notre Dame Win 25
@Boston College 10
Vegas Notre Dame −28.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4 toward Notre Dame
Total 60.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Notre Dame −24 93% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 9
Miami 20
@SMU Win 26
Vegas Miami −9.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 7 toward Miami
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Miami −3.5 58% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Arizona State Win 24
@Iowa State 19
Vegas Iowa State −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5 toward Iowa State
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Iowa State −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Penn State 14
@Ohio State Win 38
Vegas Ohio State −20.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 13.5 toward Ohio State
Total 48
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Ohio State −13.5 80% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
New Mexico Win 40
@UNLV 35
Vegas UNLV −5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward New Mexico
Total 63
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model UNLV −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Old Dominion Win 31
@UL Monroe 6
Vegas Old Dominion −15 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Old Dominion
Total 52
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Old Dominion −15 82% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 10
Mississippi State Win 38
@Arkansas 35
Vegas Arkansas −4.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Arkansas
Total 61
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Arkansas −7.5 67% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 11
Oklahoma Win 33
@Tennessee 27
Vegas Tennessee −3.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Oklahoma
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tennessee −5 62% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 12
Rutgers 13
@Illinois Win 35
Vegas Illinois −13 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 3 toward Illinois
Total 60
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Illinois −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 13
New Mexico State 16
@Western Kentucky Win 35
Vegas Western Kentucky −8.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward New Mexico State
Total 50
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Western Kentucky −6 65% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 14
Louisiana Win 31
@South Alabama 22
Vegas South Alabama −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2 toward Louisiana
Total 54.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model South Alabama −4.5 61% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 16
Purdue 16
@Michigan Win 21
Vegas Michigan −21 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Michigan
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Michigan −20.5 90% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 17
Texas Tech Win 43
@Kansas State 20
Vegas Texas Tech −7 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 12 toward Texas Tech
Total 58
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Texas Tech −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 18
Georgia Tech 36
@NC State Win 48
Vegas Georgia Tech −6.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2.5 toward NC State
Total 57.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Georgia Tech −6 64% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 19
Cincinnati 14
@Utah Win 45
Vegas Utah −7 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 6 toward Utah
Total 53
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Utah −11.5 77% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 20
Kentucky Win 10
@Auburn 3
Vegas Auburn −10 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Auburn
Total 47
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Auburn −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
North Carolina Win 27
@Syracuse 10
Vegas Syracuse −2.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 0.5 toward North Carolina
Total 52.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Syracuse −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 21
West Virginia Win 45
@Houston 35
Vegas Houston −14.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 3 toward West Virginia
Total 48.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Houston −10.5 75% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
Tulane 26
@UTSA Win 48
Vegas Tulane −4 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▼ 2.5 toward Tulane
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Tulane −1 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
UCF 3
@Baylor Win 30
Vegas Baylor −5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1.5 toward UCF
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Baylor −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 23
Arkansas State Win 23
@Troy 10
Vegas Troy −8 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 0.5 toward Troy
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Troy −10 73% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 24
Marshall 27
@Coastal Carolina Win 44
Vegas Marshall −4 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 4 toward Marshall
Total 56
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Marshall −7 66% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 26
East Carolina Win 45
@Temple 14
Vegas East Carolina −4.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward East Carolina
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model East Carolina −5.5 63% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 27
Sam Houston 14
@Louisiana Tech Win 55
Vegas Louisiana Tech −17 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Sam Houston
Total 46
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Louisiana Tech −14 81% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 27
Delaware 30
@Liberty Win 59
Vegas Liberty −3 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1 toward Liberty
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Liberty −1.5 54% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 27
Wake Forest 7
@Florida State Win 42
Vegas Florida State −7.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 5.5 toward Florida State
Total 51.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Florida State −8 69% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 28
Indiana Win 55
@Maryland 10
Vegas Indiana −21 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 4.5 toward Indiana
Total 53.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Indiana −17 85% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 29
Buffalo Win 28
@Bowling Green 3
Vegas Bowling Green −1.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Bowling Green
Total 45.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Bowling Green −4 60% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 30
James Madison Win 52
@Texas State 20
Vegas James Madison −6 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▼ 1.5 toward James Madison
Total 59.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model James Madison −2.5 56% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 36
Arizona Win 52
@Colorado 17
Vegas Arizona −4.5 ✕ ATS
Line moved ▲ 2 toward Colorado
Total 50.5
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Colorado −1 53% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →
Final Off by 36
Fresno State Win 30
@Boise State 7
Vegas Boise State −18.5 ✓ ATS
Line moved ▲ 1 toward Fresno State
Total 55
{# Row-level, not page-level: with a free tier the same page carries both full and withheld cards, and the data layer has already stripped the withheld ones. Presence of the number is the honest test. #}
Model Boise State −12.5 78% win prob
Enhanced Check Details →